Friday, February 16, 2007

Global Warming

On Reuters yesterday:

KATHMANDU - Snow fell on Nepal’s capital, Kathmandu, for the first time in 63 years on Wednesday, stirring excitement and curiosity among residents and their children.

"I have never seen it snow in Kathmandu in all my life,” said 45-year-old housewife Manju Shrestha, playing in the snow with her young children.

Also in the news yesterday: temperatures in Antarctica are not increasing, as the climate models have predicted. Let me translate: the “evidence” for the notion of future global warming caused by human activity consists almost entirely of the predictions of computerized “models” of the Earth’s climate. For the most part, the changes predicted by these models are small and slow, and therefore very difficult to verify over the course of even several years. However, there are several changes the models predict that are larger and faster. One of those happens to be in an area where there is lots of scientific activity, and good climate records over the past few years: Antarctica. The models predicted easily measurable temperature increases over the past 10 years.

Those increases didn’t happen.

The models are demonstrably wrong.

But I don’t suppose the Al Gorians will temper their rhetoric in the slightest. After all, they’re not the type to let a little thing like some pesky data upset their gravy train certainty…

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