The news of some scientists predicting the possibility of a new “little Ice Age” broke a few days ago. I didn't post anything right away, as I wanted to read up on both the original story and reactions to it. Here's my summary, after reading a lot of articles:
- All the report really says is that what's being observed today looks an awful lot like what little we know about the beginning of the Maunder Minimum.
- The authors of the report then speculate about the possibility that this indicates we're about to enter such a period.
- It would take several years of consistently low sunspot counts before we could really say with any certainty that this was happening.
- The pro-AGW crowd is quite predictably reacting negatively to this potential destruction of their world view. I'd expect nothing else. But just because they're predictable doesn't mean they're wrong.
An ice age would be great for my property values. Those northern states are gonna really suck!ReplyDelete
I would imagine that when we see less solar activity we see overall cooling trends and more solar activity that we see warming. i.e that solar activity has a greater effect on global temperatures than whatever we are doing.
Regardless of outcome, if we do see a drop in solar activity like that, it makes for a good experiment.