Monday, August 22, 2011


Things are looking very grim for Gaddafi right now.  The news stories are short on details and confirmation, but it sure looks like Gaddafi's fall (and possibly his demise) is imminent.

But then what?  I've read everything I can find on the rebels, and I've found precious little that gives me confidence that post-Gaddafi Libya will be stable, peaceful, or free of radical Islamists.  It is completely within the realm of possibility that Libya could end up even worse than it was under Gaddafi.  That's still possible in Egypt, too – and in fact, recent events seem to indicate we're headed that way.

I'm hoping for the best, but wondering what our “smart power” administration will do if the worst happens.  At least 2012 isn't all that far away...

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